TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Serbian SuperLiga. The contest involves two teams competing against each other, with the result determined by the final score after the standard playing time. The event provides a clear framework for determining the winner based on the game's conclusion.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026: a win for IMT Novi Beograd, a win for FK Zeleznicar Pancevo, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by traders who are actively buying and selling contracts, expressing their own beliefs about the outcome. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may shift in response, potentially diverging from or converging with sportsbook lines depending on how that information is interpreted by market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own analysis and expectations, and the market price adjusts dynamically as new information emerges and trading activity fluctuates. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be, and vice-versa.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the IMT Novi Beograd versus FK Zeleznicar Pancevo match in the Serbian SuperLiga. The platform will identify the winning team, or if the match ends in a draw, that outcome will be determined. The final score and official match report will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome and settling the market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either IMT Novi Beograd or FK Zeleznicar Pancevo would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, and even tactical decisions announced by the managers, have the potential to impact the perceived probabilities and, therefore, the prices within this market on Kalshi.