TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki, focusing on who wins within regular time. Bettors can speculate on either team securing a victory or the game ending in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki professional Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time, while a 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular playing time.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the prediction market price will move accordingly. This dynamic can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available leading up to the match. It’s a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the IMT Novi Beograd versus Cukaricki match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that data. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s prediction of the match outcome.