TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
Illinois vs. Michigan State
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Illinois vs. Michigan State?

Volume:
$265,412

Illinois vs. Michigan State

 - Polymarket

Illinois vs. Michigan State - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 8:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Illinois vs. Michigan State

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 24.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,570
N/A
N/A
$14,700
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 20.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,452
N/A
N/A
$12,350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 23.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,368
N/A
N/A
$8,337
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 19.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,397
N/A
N/A
$3,397
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 67.5

100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 16.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,403
N/A
N/A
$2,403
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 13.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,083
N/A
N/A
$1,083
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,064
N/A
N/A
$1,064
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
$748
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$733
N/A
N/A
$733
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Michigan State O/U 23.5

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q O/U 10.5

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q O/U 16.5

100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Illinois O/U 32.5

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Michigan State O/U 32.5

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -0.5

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Illinois O/U 23.5

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 228

Description

This group covers various markets related to the Illinois vs. Michigan State college football game on October 10th. Markets include the game winner, point spreads, over/under totals for points scored, and various player/team statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets contain an incorrect date (2026) and focus solely on first-half scoring, while Polymarket covers the full game and uses the correct date.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for accurate resolution. Kalshi markets appear to have data errors and should be avoided.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the final outcome of the Illinois vs. Michigan State game on October 10th, including winner, point spreads, and totals. Markets resolve upon official game completion, with a 50/50 split for cancellations.
  • Kalshi: Markets focus exclusively on first-half scoring totals and are incorrectly dated for October 10, 2026. Resolution is based on the total points scored in the first half of the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Illinois and Michigan State, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the Illinois vs Michigan State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the collective points must exceed the specified threshold listed in the market title. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard provides a consensus view of predictions on the Illinois vs. Michigan State game, aggregating data from multiple prediction market platforms. Currently, the total volume across these markets is $265,412, with $258,881 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket and Kalshi both offer markets related to this contest, allowing traders to express their beliefs about the game’s outcome. The dashboard tracks the probabilities implied by the trading activity on each platform, providing a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. It helps to identify potential discrepancies and overall trends in how people are predicting the result of this matchup.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs, which can lead to more accurate probabilities. However, both types of odds are influenced by information and biases. It's common to see differences, especially before significant news breaks or as public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more well-rounded assessment of the likely outcome of the Illinois vs. Michigan State game.