TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of an upcoming college football game between Illinois and Michigan State. It provides a way to speculate on the momentum and performance of each team specifically in the last period of play, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the points scored during that designated timeframe.
If Michigan St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Illinois vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Illinois vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Illinois vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds in this market can adjust more rapidly than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially closer to the event's start.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 4th quarter of the Illinois vs Michigan State game will determine the outcome of this market. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be used to verify the winning team. Trading will cease before resolution, and contracts will pay out based on the verified result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable information.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Key player injuries on either the Illinois or Michigan State teams would be a significant catalyst. Unexpected changes in coaching strategy or team performance during earlier parts of the game could also shift trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions, if they significantly impact gameplay, could play a role. Any news or information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning the 4th quarter is likely to move this market.