TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the third quarter of an upcoming college football game between Illinois and Michigan State. It provides a way to speculate on short-term in-game performance rather than the overall result.
If Michigan St. wins the 3rd quarter of the Illinois vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins the 3rd quarter of the Illinois vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Illinois vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds, but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Differences can emerge due to varying levels of information available to each group, or differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted source. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Key injuries to star players on either the Illinois or Michigan State teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Even real-time performance during the first half of the game, and any notable momentum swings, could impact trading activity and alter the odds. Changes in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role in how this market evolves.