TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Maryland and Illinois in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents what traders collectively believe will happen. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one market has more volume and therefore more informed traders. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total point ranges. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The most actively traded contracts indicate where the most conviction lies among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Illinois versus Maryland game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scoring data released by the governing body of the game. All contracts will be settled based on whether the actual team totals fall within the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. Traders who correctly predicted the team totals will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Illinois or Maryland would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also affect trading activity. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can play a role in shaping the price of contracts in this market.