TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Illinois vs Maryland: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Illinois vs Maryland?

Volume:
$1,836,493

Illinois wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Illinois wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 3:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,122,996
N/A
N/A
$919,398
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 1.5 points

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88,051
N/A
N/A
$61,284
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 3.5 points

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224,583
N/A
N/A
$167,556
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,358
N/A
N/A
$47,951
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,123
N/A
N/A
$46,347
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 6.5 points

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,554
N/A
N/A
$49,194
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 5.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,730
N/A
N/A
$32,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,825
N/A
N/A
$17,642
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,003
N/A
N/A
$15,868
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 1.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,527
N/A
N/A
$14,692
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 7.5 points

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,505
N/A
N/A
$13,961
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,478
N/A
N/A
$10,720
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 5.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,526
N/A
N/A
$10,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,856
N/A
N/A
$6,897
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 11.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,988
N/A
N/A
$6,961
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,587
N/A
N/A
$3,031
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,130
N/A
N/A
$4,053
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,125
N/A
N/A
$3,967
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,813
N/A
N/A
$1,656
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 16.5 points

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,463
N/A
N/A
$1,374
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,445
N/A
N/A
$1,239
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 10.5 points

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,363
N/A
N/A
$1,149
Settled
No
kalshi

Illinois wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,084
N/A
N/A
$924
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$925
N/A
N/A
$424
Settled
No
kalshi

Maryland wins by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
$753
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks whether Illinois will win their college football game against Maryland by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of Illinois winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the outcome of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, specifically if Illinois wins by more than 20.5 points. Keep a close eye on the game itself on October 31, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either Illinois or Maryland for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If Illinois wins by more than the specified margin, the relevant Illinois market resolves to 'Yes'. Conversely, if Maryland wins by more than the specified margin, the corresponding Maryland market resolves to 'Yes'. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to 'No'. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Illinois-Maryland football spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the spread has fluctuated over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,405,244. The total volume traded on this market is $1,441,228. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the anticipated margin of victory.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant difference, it may indicate a perceived mispricing or a strong conviction among traders that differs from the sportsbook’s assessment. It’s important to compare both to form your own informed opinion.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Illinois-Maryland football game. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on that side of the line. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time forecast of the game’s outcome. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Illinois-Maryland football game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will be settled at 100, while those predicting a different spread will be settled at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Illinois or Maryland teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could contribute to price fluctuations.