TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether either Illinois or Maryland will score a touchdown through defensive or special teams play in their scheduled game. Such touchdowns occur when a player intercepts an opponent's pass and runs it back to the endzone, recovers a fumble and runs it back for a score, blocks and recovers a punt or kick in the endzone, or scores on a punt or kickoff return. The result is determined purely by whether these unique scoring methods produce points during the match.
If Illinois and Maryland collectively record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from participants actively trading on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets adjust more quickly to new information and changing circumstances than traditional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a defensive or special teams touchdown will occur in the Illinois vs Maryland game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, represented by the bid and ask prices, shows the level of demand and supply for contracts at different price points, influencing the overall market price.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether a defensive or special teams touchdown is scored during the Illinois vs Maryland football game. The official game statistics will be used to determine if a touchdown was scored by either the Illinois or Maryland defense or special teams unit. The result will be based on the official game records as reported by trusted sports news sources.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. News regarding key defensive players for either team – such as injuries or suspensions – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a strong running game or increase the likelihood of turnovers, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or special teams formations might also cause movement. Finally, any public statements from analysts or experts predicting a high-scoring or defensively-focused game could influence trader sentiment on Kalshi.