TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Illinois and Maryland. It tracks the competitive performance of both teams specifically in the last 15 minutes of regulation play, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on who holds the scoring advantage in that decisive segment of the match.
If Maryland wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals with skin in the game. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on pre-game analysis, this market can adjust rapidly to incorporate real-time developments and insider knowledge. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the fourth quarter will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes. It’s important to monitor the official results to understand how this market settles.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Key player injuries, unexpected changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Real-time game performance during the first three quarters will likely have a significant impact, as traders react to how each team is playing. News reports about team morale or coaching decisions could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the fourth quarter has the potential to move this market, creating opportunities for informed traders.