TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Illinois and Maryland. It tracks performance during a defined segment of play, offering a granular view of in-game dynamics.
If Maryland wins the 2nd quarter of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois wins the 2nd quarter of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current top outcome, as indicated by the market, is not a tie, but probabilities can shift rapidly based on trading activity and external factors.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that has the highest score at the end of the second quarter of the Illinois vs Maryland game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be determined by the platform following the conclusion of the second quarter. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups for either Illinois or Maryland would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or game-time conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on team performance in the first quarter, or even pre-game analysis from reputable sources, could trigger changes in the odds as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions before Oct 31, 2026.