TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both teams in a specific quarter of a college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed certain thresholds, offering varying levels of difficulty and potential payout.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for resolution, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points. If the cumulative points exceed the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, it proceeds as scheduled. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The scoring is strictly limited to points made during the second quarter, with no consideration for other quarters' performance.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their individual beliefs. While direct comparisons can be insightful, it’s important to remember that prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting, and the price can shift rapidly as new information becomes available. The efficiency of this market can sometimes lead to odds that are more accurate than those offered by sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Illinois vs Maryland game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine whether the total points exceeded or fell short of the relevant threshold. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Illinois or Maryland teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, in-game performance during the 1st quarter, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead traders to adjust their expectations and shift the price of this market. Public sentiment and expert analysis could also play a role.