TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Illinois and Maryland in the first quarter of their college football game. Each market represents a different point differential threshold that determines whether a specific outcome is considered a decisive lead for either team within the initial 15 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold defined in each individual market—ranging from overcoming 2.5 points to achieving a margin of over 10.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and perceived biases, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game's outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available and as different groups of people weigh the available data. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the potential result of the Illinois vs Maryland game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the first quarter of the Illinois vs Maryland game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official results are published.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Illinois or Maryland would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift traders’ expectations. Public sentiment and betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks may also indirectly influence trading activity in this market.