TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Illinois vs Maryland college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For markets where Illinois is the potential winner, resolution occurs if Illinois leads by more than the specified point margin at the end of the first half. Conversely, for markets where Maryland is the potential winner, resolution occurs if Maryland leads by more than the specified point margin at the end of the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning no participant will win or lose money based on the actual game outcome. These rules apply uniformly across all individual point-spread markets listed.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and more people trade. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a valuable perspective on public perception and potential value.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the first half of the Illinois vs Maryland game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Illinois or Maryland teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role.