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Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers (W)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$30
0%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers (W)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 03d:02h:01m

Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers (W)

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 84% Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers (W)

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 2h 1m
Active
kalshi

Dayton

Trade
N/A
N/A
59¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 5h 1m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 78.5¢Max: 98¢
kalshi

Illinois St.

Trade
N/A
N/A
59¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 5h 1m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Illinois State Redbirds and Dayton Flyers, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with potential for a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a specified deadline.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves 'Yes' if either team wins, while Polymarket requires a definitive winner to resolve 'Yes' and has a no-result provision for cancellations/abandonments.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is essentially a 'either team wins' market. Polymarket's market is a standard win/no-result market. Factor this into your probabilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on a definitive game outcome determined by NCAA.com, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled or doesn't start by November 7, 2026. "If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Dayton or Illinois State wins the game. "If Dayton wins the Illinois St. vs Dayton women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois St. wins the Illinois St. vs Dayton women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CWBB game between Illinois State Redbirds and Dayton Flyers, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the women's college basketball game between Illinois State and Dayton, scheduled for November 5, 2026. If Dayton wins the game as originally scheduled, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Illinois State wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Illinois-Dayton basketball game. Currently, the consensus view across both platforms indicates a fairly even match. Total volume for this market is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This reflects the active interest in predicting the result of the game. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of where the crowd believes the outcome will land, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional sports analysis.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights that aren’t immediately reflected in sportsbook lines, making them a valuable tool for informed decision-making.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Illinois-Dayton basketball game as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market’s settlement data after verification. The market will then be closed, and payouts will be distributed based on the final outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Illinois State Redbirds or the Dayton Flyers would likely cause movement. Changes in team performance, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or significant changes in public perception of either team’s chances would also be catalysts. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the game.