TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 8:08 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 9 at 4:30AM ET: If the Illawarra Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Illawarra Hawks". If the Tasmania JackJumpers win, the market will resolve to "Tasmania JackJumpers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 9 at 4:30AM ET: If the Illawarra Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Illawarra Hawks". If the Tasmania JackJumpers win, the market will resolve to "Tasmania JackJumpers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge with prediction market prices as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer, though discrepancies can persist due to differing risk assessments and market dynamics.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, breaking news, and shifts in sentiment among traders, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system for the NBL championship race.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the NBL championship series, determining which team is crowned the champion. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the final standings and declare a winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the outcome of the market and their holdings of shares representing the winning team.