TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Illawarra Hawks vs. Cairns Taipans
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Illawarra Hawks vs. Cairns Taipans?

Volume:
$97,628

Cairns Taipans

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 3:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cairns Taipans

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,629
N/A
N/A
$15,296
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cairns Taipans (-0.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 195.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illawarra Hawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,794
N/A
N/A
$17,166
Settled
No
polymarket

Illawarra Hawks vs. Cairns Taipans

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the Illawarra Hawks and the Cairns Taipans. The market resolves to the winning team, or splits 50-50 if the game is cancelled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A significant date discrepancy exists between the two platforms, potentially indicating an error in the Kalshi market's setup.Hero tip: Focus on the Polymarket market as the more likely accurate representation of the current event. Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the date discrepancy is resolved.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the game scheduled for October 11, 2024 at 2:00 AM ET. "In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 11 at 2:00AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to the winner of the game scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT. "If Illawarra Hawks wins the Cairns Taipans vs Illawarra Hawks men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 11 at 2:00AM ET: If the Illawarra Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Illawarra Hawks". If the Cairns Taipans win, the market will resolve to "Cairns Taipans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a men's professional basketball game in the Australia NBL between the Cairns Taipans and the Illawarra Hawks, scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 2:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as originally scheduled, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Illawarra Hawks versus Cairns Taipans game. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms shows a strong expectation for one team to win, with a combined volume of $97,628. This allows traders to compare predictions and see how the market is interpreting available information. The aggregated data provides a real-time assessment of the likely result, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current volume of $97,315 indicates recent market activity for the NBL game market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources, though transaction fees and market liquidity should be considered.

Several signals could influence the price of shares in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Illawarra Hawks or the Cairns Taipans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Major news stories or public endorsements related to either team could also move the market. Any unexpected developments leading up to the game have the potential to alter the perceived probabilities and, therefore, the prices in this market.