TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Il Lombardia 2026: Winner
polymarket

Who will win Il Lombardia?

Volume:
$676

Paul Seixas

 - Polymarket

Paul Seixas - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 2:47 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Paul Seixas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jasper Philipsen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tadej Pogacar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Remco Evenepoel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Isaac Del Toro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Giulio Ciccone

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mathieu Van Der Poel

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Christophe Laporte

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jonathan Milan

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jonas Vingegaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mads Pedersen

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dylan Groenewegen

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lenny Martinez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mattias Skjelmose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Richard Carapaz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luca Mozzato

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pello Bilbao

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben Tulett

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tobias Lund Andresen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tobias Johannessen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wout van Aert

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Florian Lipowitz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Thomas Pidcock

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Laurence Pithie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brady Gilmore

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 71

Description

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Il Lombardia, scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. If the 2026 Il Lombardia is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Il Lombardia, scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. If the 2026 Il Lombardia is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there’s a significant disparity, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome or isn’t fully accounting for certain factors. It's common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event draws nearer and more information becomes available.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each cyclist winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that cyclist winning, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular cyclist, the higher their price goes, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders involved.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the Il Lombardia race will be used to determine the winner. The cyclist who crosses the finish line first, according to the official race results, will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the race organizers and verified against credible public sources.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the health or form of key contenders, such as injuries or strong performances in preceding races, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Weather conditions on race day, particularly if they deviate from the forecast, could also influence the market, as certain cyclists excel in different conditions. Finally, tactical announcements from teams or unexpected race dynamics during the event itself could lead to substantial movements in this market as traders react to new information.