TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between IK Sirius and IF Elfsborg, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Sirius" if IK Sirius are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "IF Elfsborg" if IF Elfsborg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between IK Sirius and IF Elfsborg, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Sirius" if IK Sirius are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "IF Elfsborg" if IF Elfsborg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the likelihood of each team scoring first. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges that hasn't been fully factored into traditional odds. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of either IK Sirius or IF Elfsborg scoring first.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal in the IK Sirius vs. IF Elfsborg match. The result will be based on the official match records and verified against credible public sources. Any potential disputes will be handled according to the platform's standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all traders.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either IK Sirius or IF Elfsborg would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or tactical announcements from the managers, could impact the perceived probability of each team scoring first. Any unexpected developments leading up to the match have the potential to move this market.