TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Sirius
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:01h:41m
$
This group forecasts the outcome of a single Allsvenskan soccer match between IK Sirius and Halmstads BK scheduled for November 3, 2026. Markets exist for Sirius winning, Halmstads BK winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Allsvenskan game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 between IK Sirius and Halmstads BK.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Sirius vs Halmstad Allsvenskan soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. A 'Yes' outcome for the Sirius market occurs if Sirius secures a win under these conditions. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Halmstad occurs if Halmstad achieves a victory within the same timeframe. If neither team wins and the game concludes in a draw, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution of these markets.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks primarily rely on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets incorporate the 'wisdom of the crowd,' aggregating insights from numerous individuals. This can lead to differences in probabilities, particularly when significant external factors or less quantifiable elements influence the event. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team performance, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate news, injuries, or even public sentiment, potentially offering a more nuanced assessment of the likely outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi are common due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, Polymarket currently favors Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03? at 75.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Sirius wins at 76.0%, reflecting differing opinions among their respective traders. These differences can also arise from variations in how each platform handles liquidity and order execution, leading to temporary imbalances in pricing. The overall volume for this market is $409, which impacts price stability.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either IK Sirius or Halmstads BK could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match media coverage influencing public perception, could also cause movement. Major upsets in related matches or league standings could also indirectly impact trader sentiment and the price of this market.