TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a basketball game between Igokea and KK Crvena Zvezda in the ABA League. Users are predicting which team will win the game, with potential for a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled without a reschedule.
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: If the Igokea win, the market will resolve to "Igokea". If the KK Crvena Zvezda win, the market will resolve to "KK Crvena Zvezda". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If Igokea Aleksandrovac wins the KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade vs Igokea Aleksandrovac men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins the KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade vs Igokea Aleksandrovac men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance their risk, while this market is driven by individual traders buying and selling contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While both aim to predict the same event, the mechanisms and information sources differ, resulting in potentially varied probabilities for the same outcome in the Igokea vs. Crvena Zvezda game.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the displayed probabilities. These differences contribute to a dynamic pricing environment where the market continually adjusts based on new information and trader sentiment regarding the Igokea vs. Crvena Zvezda game.