TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Igdir and Bolu in the TFF 1. Lig league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Igdir vs Bolu professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Igdir win, Bolu win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either Igdir or Bolu within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ versus the opinions of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to discrepancies, offering potential value for informed traders who identify mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Igdir vs Bolu match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not. The precise timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the speed of official result confirmation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Additionally, weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could shift expectations. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or social media discussions, might also cause movement. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential price fluctuations in this market.