TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This group covers the outcome of a single Allsvenskan soccer match between IFK Goteborg and Vasteraas SK scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets ask whether IFK Goteborg, Vasteraas SK will win, or if the match will end in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Allsvenskan game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between IFK Goteborg and Vasteraas SK.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the professional Allsvenskan soccer match between Goteborg and Vasteraas scheduled for October 9, 2026: a win for Goteborg, a win for Vasteraas, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout results. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's established procedures. The rules clarify that the platform has no official affiliation with the governing league or its entities.
Prediction market odds, such as those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanism of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to profit from balancing action on both sides, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks often offer more markets and may have different risk tolerances, impacting their pricing. The volume on this market is currently $91,220.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the IFK Goteborg vs. Vasteraas SK match. Trading fees, platform-specific rules, and liquidity also play a role. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery; a larger volume generally leads to more accurate and stable odds. Currently, the difference in implied probabilities reflects these varying dynamics within each market.