TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This group covers various markets related to the college football game between Idaho and Weber State on October 10th. Markets include the overall game winner, point spreads, and over/under totals for points scored. Kalshi focuses heavily on spread-based markets, while Polymarket offers a wider range of options.
In the upcoming college football game between Idaho and Weber State, scheduled for October 10 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Idaho" if Idaho win the game. This market will resolve to "Weber State" if Weber State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Idaho vs Weber State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Idaho wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Idaho wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Weber State wins by exceeding their specified margin, the relevant 'Weber St. wins by over Y points' market resolves to Yes. All markets remain active if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original schedule time, resolving according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital based on their beliefs about the game's outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently with new information, as traders quickly adjust their positions. Comparing the two can provide a more well-rounded understanding of the probabilities surrounding the Idaho vs. Weber State game.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and perceived information advantages. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with unique risk appetites and predictive insights, leading to distinct price discovery processes. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform can influence pricing; Polymarket currently favors Idaho wins by over 12.5 points at an undisclosed percentage, while Kalshi leans toward Spread: Weber State (-3.5) with 100 percent chance. These differences reflect the diverse perspectives within each market.