TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming college football game between Idaho and Montana. It focuses solely on the first half performance, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The result depends on which team scores more points in the first two quarters of play.
If Montana wins the 1st half of the Idaho vs Montana college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Idaho wins the 1st half of the Idaho vs Montana college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Idaho vs Montana college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two types of markets. However, as the event approaches, the odds in this market often converge with those offered by sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the first half of the Idaho vs Montana football game will determine the outcome. The platform will rely on official results from the game to determine the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the first-half winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches to stay informed of any potential developments that could impact the outcome.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Idaho or Montana team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also contribute to price fluctuations, although this market is driven by traders’ own assessments rather than external opinions. Major upsets in other games that day could also have a slight ripple effect.