TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Idaho Vandals and Idaho State Bengals scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets track which team wins the matchup, with consistent resolution across platforms based on the final game outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Idaho St. wins OR Idaho wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses a standard categorical resolution structure. These are incompatible market architectures.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's stated terms until clarification is obtained from the platform. The logic as presented violates basic resolution principles. Polymarket's market is resolvable and clear: the winner is determined by final score including overtime, with postponement keeping the market open and cancellation resulting in 50-50 split.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure with critical logical error. States: If Idaho St. wins resolves to Yes AND If Idaho wins resolves to Yes. This creates an impossible scenario where both mutually exclusive outcomes produce the same resolution, making the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Categorical winner-based resolution. Resolves to 'Idaho Vandals' if Idaho wins, or 'Idaho State Bengals' if Idaho State wins. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no makeup by splitting 50-50. Result determined by final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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