TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Iceland vs Bulgaria: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Iceland vs Bulgaria?

Volume:
$35,819

Iceland wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Iceland wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 1:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iceland wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,938
N/A
N/A
$5,708
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iceland wins by more than 2.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,403
N/A
N/A
$5,938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iceland wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,589
N/A
N/A
$3,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Bulgaria wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,308
N/A
N/A
$2,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Bulgaria wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$581
N/A
N/A
$581
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market assesses the margin of victory in the Iceland vs Bulgaria UEFA Nations League match. Outcomes depend on whether Iceland or Bulgaria achieves a win by a margin exceeding specific goal differences.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the goal differential in the Iceland vs Bulgaria UEFA Nations League soccer game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four separate outcome thresholds are evaluated: Iceland wins by more than 2.5 goals, Iceland wins by more than 1.5 goals, Bulgaria wins by more than 1.5 goals, and Bulgaria wins by more than 2.5 goals. If the actual result meets any specified condition, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Iceland vs Bulgaria match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $33,648. The total volume traded on this market is $35,819. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the anticipated goal difference in this soccer match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Iceland vs Bulgaria match. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded view of the probabilities involved.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Iceland vs Bulgaria match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the expected result.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread – the difference in goals scored by Iceland and Bulgaria – as officially recorded by the governing soccer authorities. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on the actual goal difference achieved in the Iceland vs Bulgaria match, providing a clear and objective outcome for all participants.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Iceland or Bulgaria would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the starting lineups or any controversies surrounding the teams could also contribute to shifts in this market, as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes for the Iceland vs Bulgaria match.