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Closed: Oct 3, 4:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a UEFA Nations League match between Iceland and Bulgaria. The outcome will be determined by which team scores more goals in the second half, including stoppage time, with a draw possible if both teams score the same number of goals. The markets specify fallback data sources if official statistics are unavailable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Iceland and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iceland" if Iceland score more goals than Bulgaria in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Iceland and Bulgaria score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria score more goals than Iceland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Iceland and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iceland" if Iceland score more goals than Bulgaria in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Iceland and Bulgaria score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria score more goals than Iceland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal risk assessment, while this market is driven by real money trading and public sentiment. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or a strong bias. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, and they may offer more competitive odds due to lower overhead.