TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Iceland and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Iceland and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook, which relies on the analysis of a smaller number of experts. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from the prediction market price. It’s always wise to compare both to make informed decisions about where to place your bets, and to understand the differing incentives at play.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different halftime outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, and as more people sell, its price decreases. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction behind each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result, as determined by official sources covering the Iceland vs. Bulgaria match, will be the basis for settlement. This includes confirmation of which team is leading, or if the match is tied, at the end of the first half. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted data sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching decisions might also cause movement. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or expert opinions, could impact trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect this market, as bettors adjust their overall risk assessments.