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Iceland vs. Bulgaria - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Iceland vs Bulgaria?

Volume:
$45

Iceland

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:11 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Iceland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ISL

View
N/A
N/A
—
$19,800
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Neither

View
5%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
$3,151
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bulgaria

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

BUL

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Iceland and Bulgaria. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and provides an option for neither team scoring during that period. Postponements lead to market suspension, while cancellations result in a 'Neither' resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict define the same resolution criteria, time window, and fallback data sources, indicating a consistent market definition.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If no team scores within the specified timeframe, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are explicitly excluded from consideration.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: The market will remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve to 'Neither'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used; if Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a maximum delay of 24 hours due to data source verification.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Iceland and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iceland" if Iceland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Iceland and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iceland" if Iceland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks include a 'vig' or commission, impacting the implied probability, and may be influenced by marketing or biases. Prediction markets, however, are driven by individuals incentivized to bet honestly based on their beliefs. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert opinion, this market’s prices adjust dynamically based on real-money trading, potentially revealing information not fully captured by bookmakers. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more efficient or insightful probabilities.

Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict for the Iceland vs. Bulgaria first goal market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information access. Trading volume also plays a role; a larger volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market creation on Polymarket and Predict can influence how quickly and to what extent prices converge. These factors contribute to potentially differing probabilities for the same event.