TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:20 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Iceland and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Iceland vs. Bulgaria match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Iceland and Bulgaria, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Iceland vs. Bulgaria match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the sportsbook or that one venue has more informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Iceland vs. Bulgaria match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any official result published by a recognized sporting authority will serve as the basis for settlement. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the exact score, based on their share holdings at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Iceland or Bulgaria national teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the coaches could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, general football news, weather conditions at the match venue, and even public sentiment expressed through social media could all contribute to price movements in this market. Major upsets in other qualifying matches might also indirectly affect perceptions of team strength.