TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 3:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Zambia and Nigeria scheduled for October 21 2026 at 9:00 AM ET in ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C. The outcome corresponding to Zambia will be considered correct if Zambia is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Nigeria will be considered correct if Nigeria is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Zambia and Nigeria scheduled for October 21 2026 at 9:00 AM ET in ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C. The outcome corresponding to Zambia will be considered correct if Zambia is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Nigeria will be considered correct if Nigeria is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing promotions or biases, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's also possible that information available to traders on Polymarket differs from what’s publicly available to sportsbook oddsmakers, leading to divergent probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe Zambia will win the toss, the price of ‘Zambia’ shares will rise. This creates a dynamic pricing system that aggregates the insights of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the toss – which team wins – will be used to determine the winning share. The official result announced by the tournament organizers will serve as the definitive source for settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the Zambia vs Nigeria toss market. Any news regarding team form, potential player advantages, or even weather conditions at the match venue could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or changes in playing conditions could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket could create short-term volatility, as others react to their actions and adjust their own positions.