TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Conference League soccer match between IC Escaldes and Uni Craiova, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the match's immediate result without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the IC Escaldes vs Uni Craiova professional Conference League soccer game scheduled for October 22, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for IC Escaldes, a win for Uni Craiova, or a tie. If the game concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially if there’s strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by bookmakers. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in events with less readily available data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current top market on Kalshi is for IC Escaldes to win, though the implied probability is subject to change based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the IC Escaldes vs Uni Craiova match, as declared by the governing sporting body. Any official postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, and the market may be adjusted or voided depending on the circumstances. Traders should monitor official sources for updates regarding the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews, expert analyses, and public sentiment expressed on social media can also impact trading volume and prices. Furthermore, in-game events during other matches involving these teams, or broader developments in the league, could indirectly affect the perceived probabilities and cause the market to move. Unexpected weather conditions could also play a role.