TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$99,401,033

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,177,208,320

335,484

Markets across

33,267

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,184

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Crypto
polymarket
predict
opinion

Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Total volume:
$7,264,020
Volume 24h:
$2,090N/A
Liquidity:
$649,859
16%
Open interest:
$41,825N/A

$50M

all

3 markets

Opinion

32%

Polymarket

13%

Predict

12%

consensus

19%

+0.2%

spread

12-32%

(20pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 27

Vol.

$589.8

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

$50M

20%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 32¢ buys you 313 shares | Odds: 20% Total Payout: $313 | Net Profit: $213 Multiplier: 3.13x | ROI: 213% High Projected APY: 2,128% 125 days to resolution
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 13¢ buys you 769 shares | Odds: 13% Total Payout: $769 | Net Profit: $669 Multiplier: 7.69x | ROI: 669% APY not meaningful 127 days to resolution
predict

Trade on Predict

At 12¢ buys you 833 shares | Odds: 12% Total Payout: $833 | Net Profit: $733 Multiplier: 8.33x | ROI: 733% APY not meaningful 127 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group tracks whether Hyperbeat's token will achieve specific Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) thresholds at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its public launch. The group consists of seven binary markets at different FDV price points ($10M, $25M, $50M, $100M, $200M, $300M, $400M), all measuring the same underlying metric using total token supply multiplied by token price.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical resolution criteria, timing (4:00 PM ET one day after launch), calculation methodology (total supply × price), and deadline (December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET).Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available for Hyperbeat token at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch; Hyperbeat official Twitter (@hyperbeat) for launch date confirmation.

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch
  • FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price
  • Resolution timestamp is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
  • Each market resolves YES if FDV exceeds its specified threshold, NO otherwise
  • If no token launches by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Launch Definition: Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable; mere announcement or pre-launch availability does not qualify
  • Price Source Selection: If multiple exchanges list the token, the most liquid source is used; liquidity determined at resolution time
  • Supply Verification: Total token supply must be verifiable from official Hyperbeat sources or blockchain data; if supply is disputed, resolution uses the most widely accepted figure from major exchanges
  • No Launch by Deadline: If Hyperbeat does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in the group resolve NO regardless of FDV threshold
  • Timing Precision: Resolution occurs at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch; FDV snapshot is taken at this precise moment
Timing: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Hyperbeat token launch. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes. If the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Frequently asked questions

The Odds & Prediction Markets dashboard aggregates real-time odds for Hyperbeat's fully diluted valuation threshold across Polymarket and Predict. It displays consensus pricing, total group volume of $7,261,187, and 24-hour activity of $828 to show market conviction on whether Hyperbeat will exceed a specific FDV target within one day of launch. This cross-platform view helps traders identify where the market leans and spot divergences between venues, enabling informed decision-making on token valuation expectations.

Prediction market odds reflect collective trader expectations about Hyperbeat's post-launch valuation relative to spot price discovery. Low implied probabilities across both platforms suggest the market views a rapid climb to the specified FDV threshold as unlikely within the first day. These odds incorporate tokenomics, launch mechanics, and historical comparable launches. Spot price expectations typically move faster than prediction odds, so divergence between the two can signal either underpriced or overpriced market sentiment on Hyperbeat's immediate trajectory.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between Polymarket and Predict arise from distinct user bases, liquidity depths, and fee structures on each platform. Polymarket shows 13.0% implied probability while Predict reflects 11.5%, a spread of 1.5 percentage points. Variations also stem from different order-book dynamics, regional trader preferences, and timing of large positions. Arbitrage opportunities between venues may persist due to withdrawal delays or platform-specific trading costs, allowing sophisticated traders to exploit temporary mispricings.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution hinges on Hyperbeat's fully diluted valuation exactly one day after its official launch time. Outcome determination depends on verified on-chain data, token supply, and market capitalization snapshots at the specified moment. The event captures whether FDV crosses the threshold specified in the market title, providing a clear binary outcome tied to measurable, timestamped blockchain metrics.

Key catalysts include official launch announcements, exchange listing confirmations, and community sentiment shifts. Major partnerships, regulatory clarity, or macro crypto market rallies could accelerate demand and push FDV higher. Conversely, security concerns, team departures, or broader market downturns could suppress valuation. Token unlock schedules, initial liquidity depth, and early trading volume on decentralized exchanges directly influence post-launch price discovery. Media coverage and influencer endorsements also shape retail participation, affecting how quickly Hyperbeat reaches valuation milestones.