TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This group centers around the October 17th NHL game between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Winnipeg Jets. Markets cover both the game's winner and the total number of goals scored, offering opportunities to predict the outcome and scoring volume.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the Jets win, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the Jets win, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources at play. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow users to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information and potentially offering more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbooks often have higher liquidity and may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes for this market.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Differences in user base, trading volume, and market-making activity all contribute. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform also has its own unique fee structure and risk management policies, which can influence pricing. Furthermore, information flow and sentiment can vary between the two platforms, leading to differing interpretations of the likelihood of various outcomes in the Hurricanes vs. Jets game. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, but also explain why discrepancies may persist.