This event group covers the NHL matchup between the Carolina Hurricanes and Calgary Flames scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds, and a spread bet. Resolution depends on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
Kalshi offers a broader range of over/under thresholds (2.5 through 9.5 goals) compared to Polymarket (4.5 through 7.5 goals). While the threshold logic is consistent where overlapping, the market coverage differs, creating potential arbitrage or liquidity gaps.
Hero Tip:
Focus on the 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 goal thresholds where both platforms overlap for direct comparison. Kalshi's 2.5, 3.5, 8.5, and 9.5 markets are platform-exclusive and should be evaluated independently. All platforms agree on shootout goal adjustment (add 1 to winner's score) and overtime inclusion.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Eight separate over/under markets spanning 2.5 to 9.5 goals. Each market resolves Yes if combined goals exceed the stated threshold. Quote: 'If over 5.5 total combined goals are scored in the Carolina vs Calgary professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Four over/under markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 thresholds. Resolves Over if combined goals meet or exceed threshold+1 (e.g., O/U 7.5 = 8+ goals). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Hurricanes and Flames combine to score 8 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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