TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:52 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for October 9 at 2:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for October 9 at 2:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or specialized knowledge influencing the prediction market. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or highlight areas where the crowd believes sportsbooks have mispriced the probability of an event occurring. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood, while increased selling pressure will lower the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Hungary vs. Netherlands match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result as that will trigger the settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader trends in team performance could influence predictions. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about developments surrounding the Hungary vs. Netherlands match is crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.