TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hull City and Ipswich Town, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Hull City vs Ipswich Town professional EPL soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, each defined by a specific goal differential in favor of either team. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the stated condition regarding the goal difference is met—Hull City winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Ipswich Town winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If none of these conditions are satisfied, all relevant markets resolve to 'No.' The governing body’s official match result is the sole determinant, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by actual trader predictions, can sometimes offer more favorable odds, especially if there's disagreement between the crowd's wisdom and the sportsbook's initial assessment. However, sportsbooks have sophisticated modeling and may react quickly to new information, so differences can be dynamic. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Hull City vs Ipswich Town match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if traders think an outcome is less probable, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the perceived probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Hull City vs Ipswich Town match, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine winning contracts. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and the final spread. Significant public or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could also drive volume and price movements. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants could temporarily impact the market, though the collective wisdom of the crowd generally prevails over time.