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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 25, 11:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Hull City and Brentford. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Hull City versus Brentford English Premier League match scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed based on the combined number of goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases excluded from consideration. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual goal count exceeds the specified threshold for that particular market. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one threshold does not affect the others. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the English Premier League or its associated entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events influencing the game, with this market potentially offering a more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange contracts, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various scenarios. The more contracts purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence in that result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Hull City vs Brentford match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hull City or Brentford would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from reputable football experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected events during the match itself, like early red cards, will also have an immediate impact on this market.