TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in a professional league match, focusing on the margin of victory for each team. The outcome depends on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals more than their opponent. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes in a single professional soccer match between Hull City and Brentford, all determined by the goal differential at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct conditions are considered: Hull City winning by more than 2.5 goals, Hull City winning by more than 1.5 goals, Brentford winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Brentford winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions, if met, will resolve the event positively. The resolution exclusively uses the regular match duration, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Additionally, the platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. These discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders to exploit perceived mispricings, but it's important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread of the Hull City vs Brentford match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Hull City vs Brentford match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Significant betting activity from well-informed individuals or groups could also cause the price to move, as others react to their perceived insight. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.