TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.3b

24H VOL:

$102,956,296

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,328,568,758

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,183,289,793

307,728

Markets across

30,195

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,941

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Closed: Aug 22, 9:35 AM EST

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Intro

This market tracks whether Hull City AFC will win their upcoming English Premier League match against Manchester United FC. The aggregated consensus probability for Hull City AFC winning stands at 100.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Opinion, with resolution based on official statistics from the Premier League or a recognized governing body. The decisive catalyst to watch will be the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on August 22, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve based on the same core match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent treatment of wins, losses, and draws. Platform-specific rules for cancellations/postponements are extensions of this core logic.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the Premier League or recognized governing body

Core resolution logic:

  • A win for either team after 90 minutes plus stoppage time resolves win markets for that team to Yes and all others to No
  • A draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time resolves draw markets to Yes and all win markets to No
  • Cancellations or postponements beyond October 21, 2026 resolve specific markets per platform terms but do not alter the core win/draw/loss logic

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement before October 21, 2026: Markets remain open until the match is completed; resolution applies based on final result at that time
  • Cancellation before kickoff: Limitless draw market resolves Yes; all win markets resolve No; Polymarket resolves No for win questions and Yes for draw question
Timing: Resolution occurs when official match statistics are published by the Premier League or recognized governing body, with fallback to consensus of credible reporting within 2 hours of match conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, August 22, 2026 between Hull City AFC and Manchester United FC.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Hull City vs Manchester United professional EPL soccer match originally scheduled for August 22, 2026: a win for Hull City, a win for Manchester United, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and 'No' otherwise. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's rules. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from determining market outcomes.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 22, 2026, 11:30 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

Opinion

This market refers to the Premier League match between Hull City (HUL) and Manchester United (MUN), scheduled for 2026-08-22 11:30 UTC. - HUL: If Hull City wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MUN: If Manchester United wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both HUL and MUN options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Premier League. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.premierleague.com/

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Hull City vs Manchester United match market aggregates data across multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume trends for short_topic. It provides a consensus view of how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various outcomes, with total volume at $6,590,149 and 24-hour volume at $6,391,430. This cross-platform view helps users spot divergences and shifts in market sentiment as the event approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through aggregated trader sentiment, often showing sharper or more volatile lines than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate additional risk management and margins, prediction markets reflect real-time buyer-seller equilibrium. For the Hull City vs Manchester United match market, the current implied probability can diverge noticeably from sportsbook lines due to differences in participant dynamics and information flow. Traders on Kalshi may also price in nuanced factors like recent form or injury updates more aggressively than average sportsbook models, leading to potential value gaps for arbitrage-aware participants.