TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Hull City AFC and Everton FC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Hull City AFC and Everton FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hull City AFC" if Hull City AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Everton FC" if Everton FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Hull City AFC and Everton FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hull City AFC" if Hull City AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Everton FC" if Everton FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven by genuine crowd wisdom; prices reflect what traders are willing to pay based on their own research and beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when a large and informed group participates. While sportsbooks may initially react to news, this market tends to incorporate information more efficiently as it’s continuously updated by traders.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform may have more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the platforms may have different risk management approaches or fee structures that influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors neither team to score first at 63, while Predict leans toward Hull City AFC to score first. These discrepancies are normal and reflect the independent dynamics of each market.