TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Huancayo and Cusco in Peru's Liga 1 league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Huancayo, Cusco, or a tied outcome occurs.
The event resolves based on the result of the Huancayo vs Cusco professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Huancayo secures a victory, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Cusco wins, its market resolves to Yes. A tied result after regulation time resolves the Tie market to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within regular time, with no account for post-match proceedings such as extra time, penalties, or award decisions.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price of that outcome will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Huancayo vs Cusco match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Huancayo vs Cusco match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Huancayo vs Cusco match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team, and 0 for the losing team. The resolution will be based on the official result as declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market is settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Huancayo or Cusco could significantly shift the probabilities. Weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed traders taking positions based on non-public information, causing noticeable price movements.