TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a KNVB (Royal Dutch Football Association) soccer match between HSV Hoek and VV Sparta Nijkerk scheduled for October 29, 2026. Markets exist for Hoek winning, Sparta Nijkerk winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming KNVB Beker game, scheduled for Thursday, October 29, 2026 between HSV Hoek and VV Sparta Nijkerk.
The event determines the winner of the Hoek vs Nijkerk professional KNVB soccer match originally scheduled for October 29, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If Hoek wins in regulation time, the 'Hoek' market resolves to Yes. If Nijkerk wins in regulation time, the 'Nijkerk' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets are driven by actual money at stake, incentivizing participants to be as accurate as possible. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. It's important to compare both to gain a well-rounded understanding of the likely outcome of the Hoek vs. Sparta Nijkerk match.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions reflected in the odds. Furthermore, each platform has its own liquidity and fee structure, influencing trading behavior. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are ultimately tracking the same underlying event – the Hoek vs. Sparta Nijkerk match – and its potential outcomes.