TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet
polymarket
kalshi

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet

Volume:
$7,360,531

Corentin Moutet

 - Kalshi

Corentin Moutet - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 10:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Corentin Moutet

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,083,219
N/A
N/A
$1,285,991
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,793
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,106,644
N/A
N/A
$1,181,404
Settled
No
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,155,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Intro

This event group tracks the total number of games played in the professional tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Corentin Moutet at the HSBC Championships in London. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability for the Over/Under 22.5 games market stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by Official ATP Tour statistics from atptour.com, with credible reporting as backup if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled on June 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, as the actual game total will determine settlement across all aggregated platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical core logic: official ATP statistics determine all outcomes, with 50-50 resolution for incomplete matches, cancellations, walkovers, or delays beyond 7 days. Match winner resolves to the player who advances after a ball is played; set and game markets resolve 50-50 if those specific segments are not completed.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour statistics (atptour.com); consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner (Perricard vs Moutet): Resolves to the player who advances after a ball has been played. Resolves 50-50 if match is canceled before play, delayed beyond 7 days without completion, or ends in a walkover.
  • Match completion (Yes/No): Resolves Yes only if all games and sets required to determine a winner under ATP rules are played to completion through normal play. Resolves No for any forfeit, walkover, retirement, cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days.
  • Set winners (Set 1, Set 2): Resolve to the player winning that set if completed. Resolve 50-50 if that set is not completed for any reason or if match is canceled/delayed beyond 7 days before play begins.
  • Game count markets (Match O/U 21.5, 22.5, 23.5; Set 1 O/U 8.5, 9.5, 10.5; Set 2 O/U 8.5, 9.5, 10.5): Resolve Over if total games in scope equals or exceeds threshold; resolve Under otherwise. All tiebreaks count as one game. Resolve 50-50 if match incomplete, canceled before play, or delayed beyond 7 days.
  • Set handicap (Perricard -1.5 vs Moutet +1.5): Resolves to Perricard if he wins by 2+ more sets than Moutet; otherwise resolves to Moutet. Resolves 50-50 if match incomplete, canceled, or delayed beyond 7 days.
  • Total sets O/U 2.5: Resolves Over if 3+ sets completed; resolves Under otherwise. Super tiebreak counts as one set. Resolves 50-50 if match incomplete, canceled, or delayed beyond 7 days.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Walkover (pre-match withdrawal): If a player withdraws before the match begins and the opponent advances automatically, Polymarket match winner resolves 50-50; Kalshi match winner resolves Yes (either player wins after a ball is played is not satisfied). Set and game markets resolve 50-50 across both platforms.
  • Retirement or disqualification mid-match: If match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, the advancing player wins the match winner market (both platforms). Set and game markets resolve based on completed segments; incomplete segments resolve 50-50.
  • Delay beyond 7 days: If match is delayed more than 7 days from scheduled June 15, 2026 date without a winner determined, all markets resolve 50-50 across both platforms.
  • Cancellation (no play): If match is canceled and no ball is played, match winner and all dependent markets resolve 50-50 on both platforms.
  • Official stats delayed: If ATP does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as secondary resolution source on both platforms.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately upon match conclusion (or official ATP publication within 2 hours). Markets dependent on incomplete sets/games resolve 50-50 if those segments are not reached or completed. Cancellation or 7-day delay triggers 50-50 resolution at that point.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Corentin Moutet in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Corentin Moutet. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Moutet' if Corentin Moutet advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the professional tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Corentin Moutet in the 2026 ATP London Round of 32. Resolution requires that a ball has been played, establishing that the match officially commenced. If the match does not occur before play begins—due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation—the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes following the rescheduled match completion, provided the rescheduling occurs within two weeks. The winner of the match, once determined after play has commenced, determines the final resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect live consensus from thousands of independent traders with real money at stake. This market typically shows tighter spreads and faster price adjustments to breaking news than conventional betting lines. However, sportsbook odds often incorporate sharper professional handicapping, whereas prediction markets can be influenced by retail trader sentiment. Comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of true probability versus bookmaker-adjusted pricing.

Polymarket and Kalshi may price this market differently for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures that influence marginal pricing. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, while Kalshi operates order-book matching, leading to different price discovery mechanics. Regulatory constraints, settlement timing, and contract specifications can also vary between venues. These gaps typically narrow as informed traders arbitrage across platforms, but temporary divergences create opportunities for sophisticated traders monitoring both simultaneously.