TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Czech First League. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will secure a victory in regular time, with specific conditions governing how the result is determined.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec professional Czech First League soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on the willingness of traders to buy or sell contracts based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of various outcomes for the Czech First League match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Czech First League match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as profitable trading opportunities attract arbitrageurs who will quickly close any significant discrepancies. This dynamic process aims to reflect the aggregated beliefs of all participants regarding the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Czech First League match between Hradec Kralove and Jablonec, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in team form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market perception regarding the outcome of the Czech First League match. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential shifts in the market.