TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hradec Kralove and Artis, focusing on determining whether either team wins or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Market outcomes reflect the match's final standing as per the scheduled date, with specific handling for cancellations or rescheduling.
The event determines the winner of the Hradec Kralove vs Artis professional Czech First League soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets resolve based on whether Hradec Kralove wins, Artis wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often provide forecasts that are more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and can offer a useful point of comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing incentives – sportsbooks aim to profit from margins, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It's common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge closer to the event date as more information becomes available and opinions solidify.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own research, analysis, and expectations, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth and spread can also indicate the level of confidence traders have in a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hradec Kralove vs Artis match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or significant shifts in public sentiment could drive price changes. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 10, 2026.