TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Liiga match between HPK Hameenlinna and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for October 16 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "HPK Hameenlinna" if HPK Hameenlinna is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the Liiga match between HPK Hameenlinna and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for October 16 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "HPK Hameenlinna" if HPK Hameenlinna is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus informed trader sentiment. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals incentivized to predict the correct outcome. Often, discrepancies emerge due to differing levels of information or varying interpretations of available data. If a significant difference exists, it might suggest that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result, or vice versa.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the chance of a particular team winning.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the HPK Hameenlinna versus Ilves Tampere game, as reported by the official league source. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions for either HPK Hameenlinna or Ilves Tampere would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding coaching changes, team morale, or significant tactical adjustments could influence the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other games involving these teams might also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess overall team strength.