TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers
Volume:
$2,961,414
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Howard Bison and UMBC Retrievers scheduled for March 17, 2026. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds, over/under totals at various levels, and first-half results. The game serves as the underlying event for all derivative markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive full-game settlement logic (moneyline, spreads, totals) with explicit overtime inclusion and 50-50 cancellation protocol. Kalshi offers only first-half regulation outcomes with no full-game equivalent, creating a scope gap rather than a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
First-half winners on Kalshi are independent of full-game outcomes on Polymarket. Do not hedge a Polymarket spread bet using Kalshi first-half results. Confirm game status (postponement, cancellation) across both platforms before settlement, as both reference the same underlying event but may receive updates at different times.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Comprehensive full-game markets: moneyline (Howard vs UMBC), spreads (Howard -1.5 to -10.5, UMBC -1.5 to -2.5), and over/unders (139.5 to 177.5 combined points). All resolve on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: First-half regulation outcomes only: Yes if Howard wins first half, Yes if UMBC wins first half, Yes if Tie in first half. No full-game moneyline, spread, or total markets. No explicit overtime or cancellation language provided. Key Quote: 'If Howard is the winner of the first half of regulation time in the UMBC vs Howard men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.