TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
above 13,500,000
- Kalshi
above 13,500,000 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves May 23, 2027
Will above 13500000 people enter Broadway performances in New York City in The 2026–27 Broadway season?
$
Intro
This market tracks whether total attendance at Broadway performances in New York City during the 2026–27 season will exceed 13,500,000 people. Currently, the “Yes” outcome—that above 13,500,000 people will attend—is trading at 81.0% on Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is based on the total number of attendees during The 2026–27 Broadway season. Keep an eye on box office reports leading up to the resolution date of May 23, 2027, as that marks the end of the betting period and when final attendance figures will be assessed to determine the outcome.
Kalshi
The event determines whether total attendance at Broadway performances in New York City during the 2026–27 season exceeds specified thresholds. Attendance is defined as the Total Attendance reported by The Broadway League for the season, with each admission counted separately regardless of how many times an individual attends. Multiple markets correspond to progressively higher attendance thresholds, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported attendance surpasses the relevant threshold for that specific market.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, this market suggests a different outlook than many theatre industry analysts, who often rely on historical trends and economic projections. While analysts may emphasize factors like ticket pricing and tourism, traders are factoring in real-time data and sentiment. The gap between this market’s implied probability and analyst consensus can highlight areas where market participants see divergent risks or opportunities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices based on their expectations for Broadway attendance, influenced by factors such as production schedules, economic conditions, and public interest. The top outcome’s current chance reflects the collective bet of participants, with volume of $301,433 showing liquidity and interest. Price movements react to news that shifts expectations for theatre-going behavior.
This market resolves around May 23, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final attendance numbers for the 2026–27 Broadway season will be compared against the market’s defined categories, and the result will reflect the officially reported data from industry sources.
Several signals could shift this market before May 23, 2027. Major Broadway productions, changes in ticket pricing strategies, tourism trends, and economic indicators like consumer spending all play a role. Unexpected events—such as strikes, health concerns, or significant policy changes—could also cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment and volume on Kalshi.
