TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Apr 3, 9:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will score 20 or more points in at least 175 consecutive NBA regular season games before the May 15, 2028 deadline. On Kalshi, the Yes outcome is trading at 84.0%. Resolution will be determined by official NBA records and box scores. Watch for any extended injuries or significant performance dips that could interrupt the streak, as maintaining such consistency over nearly the entire remaining regular season window through May 15, 2028 requires sustained elite scoring production.
The market tracks consecutive regular season games where Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scores 20 or more points before May 15, 2028. A "consecutive game" requires him to appear and record statistics in that game. Games where he scores 20+ points count toward the streak; games where he scores fewer than 20 points do not count but do break the streak. Critically, games where he does not play—regardless of reason (injury, rest, suspension, or any other cause)—do not break the streak and are not counted. The streak is measured continuously, and resolution depends on whether he achieves the specified threshold of consecutive scoring games (145, 155, 165, 175, 185, 195, or 200+) by the deadline.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the length of the scoring streak. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The current price is determined solely by supply and demand on Kalshi.
This market resolves around May 15, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official NBA statistics for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s regular season games, specifically tracking the number of consecutive games in which he scores 20 or more points. The final market price will reflect the actual length of the streak achieved during the specified regular season. The outcome will be determined by the official NBA record.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any injury to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander would immediately impact the market, likely decreasing the probability of a longer streak. His performance in upcoming games, particularly whether he consistently reaches the 20-point threshold, will be a key driver. Changes in the opposing teams’ defensive strategies, or shifts in the Oklahoma City Thunder’s offensive approach, could also play a role. Unexpected trades affecting the team’s roster or coaching staff could also move the market.